Michael Phelps

Can Michael Phelps excel in comeback?

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Michael Phelps is slated to return to competition next week for the first time in nearly two years will, of course, be at least slightly different from the Phelps who won six medals at his last meet, the 2012 Olympics.

He turns 29 on June 30. Phelps has been training, lightly by his standards, for much of the last year, but who knows what his form will be when he dives in at the Mesa Grand Prix in Arizona next weekend.

Or how long it will take the 22-time Olympic medalist to reach a satisfactory level to continue competing with an eye on the Rio Olympics in 2016. Those would be his fifth Games, the same number as Dara Torres, whom Phelps called “mom” at his first Olympics in 2000. He was 15. She was 33.

“We have discussed a long-term plan in general terms, but until he swims in a meet we’re not going to know,” Phelps’ longtime coach, Bob Bowman, told the Chicago Tribune on Monday. “Will he be eighth? Second? Sixteenth?

“I think he certainly won’t be embarrassed swimming in [Mesa], and I think he will be competitive.  The difference is he is doing half the training he used to.”

Doubters can bring up Ian Thorpe, the man whom Phelps usurped as the world’s greatest swimmer a decade ago. The Australian emerged from a four-year retirement in 2011 and flopped, failing to make the 2012 Olympic Team.

Thorpe, like Phelps, was 28 when he came back, but he had barely competed since the 2004 Olympics. This is a vastly different scenario.

“If [Phelps] decides to go for Rio, he will definitely win more medals,” NBC Olympics swimming analyst Rowdy Gaines said on “TODAY” on Tuesday. “There’s no question in my mind. He will win a lot more medals.”

Phelps is expected to swim short distances, at least at the outset, in this go-round — the 50m and 100m freestyles and the 100m butterfly, perhaps, in Mesa. The 200m free could also be in play later if speculating about the Olympics, given it’s a relay distance.

The prospect of adding to his record Olympic medal count is twofold. The U.S. has won a medal in every men’s relay since the boycotted 1980 Moscow Games. Generally, the top six in the 100m free and the 200m free at the U.S. Olympic Trials make those respective relays.

Individually, it’s tougher. The U.S. has been improving in the sprint freestyle events, and shorter distances are trickier to predict.

Nathan Adrian, 25, is the reigning Olympic champion and world bronze medalist in the 100m free. Jimmy Feigen, 24, won 100m free silver at the 2013 World Championships. Cullen Jones and Anthony Ervin are also contenders, though both are older than Phelps. Internationally, France, Brazil and Australia pose threats.

Phelps won three straight Olympic titles in the 100m butterfly, an event with a less crowded field of Americans. Ryan Lochte was the only U.S. man to make the 100m fly final at the 2013 World Championships, but he has little history of swimming it at major meets.

The 100m fly king in Phelps’ absence has been South Africa’s Chad le Clos, who is merely 22. Le Clos won the 2013 world title in a national record 51.06, bettering Phelps’ 51.21 from the 2012 Olympics.

In Phelps’ corner is a Frenchman. Olympic 200m freestyle champion Yannick Agnel has been training in Baltimore and under Bowman since last year.

“So Michael knows exactly what is the benchmark nowadays in swimming,” Dutch legend Pieter Van den Hoogenband told The New York Times. “If he is not good enough during the training sessions with Yannick, he knows OK, ‘Now, my time is over, and I have to step aside and make way for the next generation.’ But if he can train with Yannick and he is still at the same level, he’ll be able with his mentality and talent to win even the Olympic gold.”

Photos: How Michael Phelps spent his retirement

U.S. Olympic Team Trials schedule for track and field

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USA Track and Field announced the schedule of events for the 2016 U.S. Olympic Team Trials. The meet will take place in Eugene, Ore. from July 1-10.

The top three finishers in each individual event will qualify for the Rio 2016 Olympics, provided they have achieved the qualifying standard.

The schedule suits Allyson Felix, who could go for a Michael Johnson-like 200m-400m double in Rio. After the women’s 400m final on July 3, she would be able to rest until the first round of the women’s 200m on July 8.

Ashton Eaton, the 2015 male IAAF Athlete of the Year, set the decathlon world record at the 2012 U.S. Olympic Team Trials. He then broke his own world record at the 2015 world championships. The decathlon competition will take place July 2-3.

The men’s shot put on July 1 will be the first event at the meet to qualify Olympians for the Rio Games. But the first USATF athletes will qualify to go to Rio at the U.S. Olympic Marathon Trials on Feb. 13 in Los Angeles.

Four event finals are scheduled to take place on the Fourth of July. The last event final of the day will take place at 5:51 p.m. PT. Then the athletes have a rest day on July 5, and the hammer throw will be the only event contested on July 6.

Here’s the schedule of event finals for the 2016 U.S. Olympic Team Trials, along with the event winners* from the 2015 USA Track and Field Championships:

Date Event Final 2015 Winner
Friday, July 1 Men’s Shot Put Joe Kovacs
Friday, July 1 Men’s 10,000m Galen Rupp
Saturday, July 2 Women’s Discus Throw Gia Lewis-Smallwood
Saturday, July 2 Women’s 10,000m Molly Huddle
Saturday, July 2 Women’s Long Jump Tianna Bartoletta
Sunday,  July 3 Women’s High Jump Chaunte Lowe
Sunday,  July 3 Men’s Long Jump Marquis Dendy
Sunday,  July 3 Women’s 400m Allyson Felix
Sunday,  July 3 Men’s 400m David Verburg
Sunday,  July 3 Women’s 100m Tori Bowie
Sunday,  July 3 Men’s 100m Tyson Gay
Monday, July 4 Men’s Pole Vault Sam Kendricks
Monday, July 4 Men’s Javelin Throw Sean Furey
Monday, July 4 Women’s 800m Alysia Montano
Monday, July 4 Men’s 800m Nick Symmonds
Wednesday, July 6 Men’s Hammer Throw Kibwe Johnson
Wednesday, July 6 Women’s Hammer Throw Amber Campbell
Thursday, July 7 Women’s Shot Put Michelle Carter
Thursday, July 7 Women’s Triple Jump Christina Epps
Thursday, July 7 Women’s 3000m Steeplechase Emma Coburn
Friday, July 8 Men’s Discus Throw Jared Schuurmans
Friday, July 8 Men’s 3000m Steeplechase Evan Jager
Friday, July 8 Women’s 100m Hurdles Dawn Harper-Nelson
Saturday, July 9 Women’s Javelin Throw Kara Winger
Saturday, July 9 Men’s Triple Jump Omar Craddock
Saturday, July 9 Men’s 5,000m Ryan Hill
Saturday, July 9 Men’s 200m Justin Gatlin
Saturday, July 9 Men’s 110m Hurdles David Oliver
Sunday, July 10 Women’s Pole Vault Jenn Suhr
Sunday, July 10 Men’s High Jump Erik Kynard
Sunday, July 10 Women’s 1500m Jenny Simpson
Sunday, July 10 Men’s 1500m Matt Centrowitz
Sunday, July 10 Women’s 400m Hurdles Shamier Little
Sunday, July 10 Women’s 5,000m Nicole Tully
Sunday, July 10 Men’s 400m Hurdles Bershawn Jackson
Sunday, July 10 Women’s 200m Jenna Prandini

*NOTE: Byes to the 2015 world championships were awarded to 2013 world champions and 2014 Diamond League event winners

Olympians headline swimming’s Winter Nationals; Preview

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Michael Phelps, Missy Franklin and Nathan Adrian are among the Olympic gold medalists listed on the psych sheets for this weekend’s Winter Nationals in Federal Way, Wash.

Phelps’ lineup includes the 200m IM, 100m butterfly and 200m butterfly. At Summer Nationals in August, he clocked the fastest times in the world in each of those events.

“I already know what I can change in that event,” he told NBC Sports’ Carolyn Manno in a poolside interview immediately following his 200m IM.

Franklin is expected to swim the 50m freestyle, 100m freestyle, 200m freestyle, 100m backstroke, where she is seeded second behind Natalie Coughlin, and 200m backstroke.

Coughlin will also see action in the 50m and 100m freestyles. She said earlier in 2015 that the 100m backstroke may enter her repertoire again, and at the Pan American Games, her 100m backstroke leadoff leg in the medley relay was the fastest she’s been since the 2008 Beijing Games at 59.05.

MORE: Phelps, Franklin, Ledecky win to end Minneapolis meet

Adrian will swim the 50m freestyle, where he is ranked first, and the 100m freestyle, where he ranks third. However, both men faster than him in the 100m freestyle field represent non-U.S. countries internationally.

Allison Schmitt is slated to compete with Franklin in the 100m and 200m freestyles, in addition to the 400m freestyle. Katie Ledecky, who has dominated U.S. women’s freestyle events at all distances, is not expected at the meet.

Notable international names competing at the meet, like those ranked above Adrian in the 100m freestyle, include:

  • Olympic bronze medalist Vladimir Morozov (Russia): 100m freestyle, 50m freestyle, 100m breaststroke, 100m backstroke
  • Olympic gold medalist Ous Mellouli (Tunisia): 400m freestyle, 1500m freestyle, 400m IM
  • Olympic gold medalist Grant Hackett (Australia): 100m freestyle, 200m freestyle, 400m freestyle
  • World champion Yulia Efimova (Russia): 50m freestyle, 100m breaststroke, 200m breaststroke, 200m IM
  • Pan American Games medalist Santo Condorelli (Canada): 50m freestyle, 100m freestyle, 100m butterfly

A live webcast of the meet will be available on usaswimming.org, including noon E.T. prelims and 9 p.m. E.T. finals beginning Thursday, Dec. 3 through Saturday, Dec. 5. NBC will air coverage on Sunday, Dec. 6 from 1-2 p.m. E.T.

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