Kenenisa Bekele, Eliud Kipchoge, Wilson Kipsang
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Berlin Marathon: Kipchoge, Bekele, Kipsang eye world record

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Sunday’s Berlin Marathon may be the biggest single race — road or track — for the next two years. Possibly from now until the 2020 Olympics. Maybe even longer.

Arguably the three greatest distance runners ever toe the line near Brandenburg Gate just after 3 a.m. ET (NBC Sports Gold and NBCSN). If any marathon is worth the sleep deprivation, it’s this one.

Major marathons are only elevating in significance within the sport. Consider the retirement of Usain Bolt and that the next world track and field championships aren’t until fall 2019.

In May, Nike’s sub-two-hour marathon attempt generated incredible buzz for a sporting event that occurred overnight Eastern time.

When Kenyan Eliud Kipchoge ran 2:00:25 on that Italian Formula 1 track, the inevitable question followed: what’s next?

The literal answer, aside from more sub-two talk: Berlin.

It’s where Kipchoge was bound to race next.

It’s where the men’s world record lowered six times since 2003, from 2:05:38 to 2:02:57. (Kipchoge’s 2:00:25, while incredible, came in non-record-eligible conditions, with pacers subbing in and out of the event)

Kipchoge signed up in July. Wilson Kipsang and Kenenisa Bekele soon followed. These three men have come closest to Dennis Kimetto‘s world record since it was set at Berlin 2014. All within 16 seconds.

The belief is that Kipchoge, Kipsang and Bekele, running together and behind rabbits for at least the first half, can push each other to stay on world-record pace. If nothing else, probability: three men chasing the world record is better than one.

Eliud Kipchoge, Kenya
2016 Olympic champion
Ran fastest marathon ever recorded (2:00:25)

Most likely to break the world record. Kipchoge has the pedigree (Olympic/World track medalist), marathon experience, age (32, youngest of the trio), consistency, mental game and fast times.

Kipchoge has run eight marathons (nine if you count the Nike event) and won all but one of them. The lone defeat was at Berlin 2013, when in his second career marathon he took second to Kipsang’s then-world record.

Consider his last four marathons:

Berlin 2015: 2:04:00 (insoles flopping out the back of his shoes the last half of the race)
London 2016: 2:03:05 (broke course record by 84 seconds)
2016 Olympics: 2:08:44 (conditions not suited for fast times; largest Olympic winning margin since 1972)
Nike sub-2: 2:00:25

Some of the best recent marathoners had short peaks, including two of the last three men to break the world record. As short as two years. Kipchoge has been incredible since his 2013 debut at 26.2 miles. How many more world-class marathons are left in those legs? The same can be asked of Bekele and Kipsang.

Kenenisa Bekele, Ethiopia
Olympic champion, world-record holder at 5000m, 10,000m
Won 2016 Berlin Marathon in second-fastest legal time ever

Bekele, 35, staked his claim to greatest distance runner of all time in Berlin last year, outdueling Kipsang and missing Kimetto’s record by six seconds. His versatility is unmatched:

5000m: Nobody within nine seconds of his 2004 world record since it was set.
10,000m: Nobody within 18 seconds of his 2005 world record since it was set.

This would seem to give Bekele an edge if all three are close in the final miles. However, Bekele is the least consistent of the bunch. Since he took up marathons in 2014, something has gone wrong every year.

2014: Won his debut in Paris, then missed the podium in Chicago.
2015: Dropped out during Dubai and before London due to injury.
2016: Not fully fit for London, dropped by Kipchoge and Stanley Biwott at mile 18 and finished third in his slowest time of five career marathon finishes. Bounced back in Berlin.
2017: Trampled at the start of Dubai and dropped out halfway through. Second in London in 2:05:57.

Wilson Kipsang, Kenya
Owns 3 of the 8 fastest legal marathon times
Won Berlin, London, New York City and Tokyo

Kipsang has run sub-2:05 each of the last eight years. Nobody else has run more than five sub-2:05s in a career.

Even if he doesn’t reclaim the world record, there’s an argument that Kipsang is the greatest marathoner of all time. And Kipsang, a police officer turned restaurant and hotel owner in Kenya, will defiantly make that argument.

He stands 6 feet, half a foot taller than Kipchoge and Bekele. With a longer stride and no track background, his chances in a close finish do not appear strong. Plus, Kipsang is the oldest of the three with the most marathons in his legs.

At this time last year, it appeared Kipsang’s best days were behind him. He went into Berlin 2016 having finished fourth and fifth in his previous two marathons (and dropping out of the one before that).

But he ran a personal best in the German capital last year and then made it back-to-back sub-2:04s for the first time in his career in Tokyo on Feb. 26. Nearly seven months since his last 26.2-miler, he’s by far the most rested of the three.

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MORE: Top Americans set for major marathon later this month

Kaetlyn Osmond wins world title after Zagitova, Kostner crumble

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Kaetlyn Osmond moved from fourth after the short program to win Canada’s first women’s world title in 45 years after Olympic champion Alina Zagitova fell three times and short-program leader Carolina Kostner also struggled jumping.

Osmond, the Olympic bronze medalist, overcame a 7.54-point deficit to Kostner and won by 12.33 points over Japan’s Wakaba Higuchi, who was eighth after the short program. Another Japanese, Satoko Miyahara, took bronze.

“To be able to make the podium was my ultimate goal,” said Osmond, who landed seven triple jumps and scored 1.65 points shy of her personal-best free skate from PyeongChang. “I never thought being champion was possible.”

Osmond was a national champion at age 17 in 2013. She missed the 2014-15 season with a broken leg, then went from being ranked 24th in the world in 2015-16 to winning world silver in 2017.

Kostner, at 31 looking to become the oldest female world champion in history, ended up fourth, 1.2 points out of bronze in what may have been her final competition. She fell once, had a single Axel and no triple-triple combination. Kostner won a world title in 2012 and Olympic bronze in 2014.

Zagitova, a 15-year-old looking to cap an undefeated season as the youngest Olympic and world champion since Tara Lipinski, finished fifth. She was second after the short program, looking for her fifth come-from-behind win in eight international events this season.

WORLDS: Full Scores | Recaps | TV Schedule

Americans finished sixth (Bradie Tennell), 10th (Mirai Nagasu) and 12th (Mariah Bell) after the U.S. women at the Olympics were ninth (Tennell), 10th (Nagasu) and 11th (Karen Chen). No U.S. woman finished in the top six for the first time in Winter Games history.

Friday’s results mean the U.S. drops from three women to two for the 2019 Worlds because the top two finishes didn’t add up to 13 or fewer (sixth and seventh, for example). The last time the U.S. had fewer than the maximum three spots at an Olympics or worlds was 2013.

This is the first time since 2010 that the U.S. didn’t put a woman in the top five at the annual worlds.

That said, Tennell capped her rise the last two seasons — from ninth at the 2017 U.S. Championships and seventh at the 2017 World Championships to ninth in her Olympic debut and sixth in her senior world debut. And that U.S. title from January.

“I feel really good about that performance,” Tennell said, according to U.S. Figure Skating. “I went out there and I just wanted to enjoy myself and skate a clean program and I feel like I did that.”

None of the U.S. women fell, but judges docked them for under rotations (Nagasu had three; Tennell two) and negative grades of execution.

“I think we could all say that [the season] was a very difficult but rewarding journey, and I’m glad to have finished it the way that I did,” said Nagasu, a 24-year-old who said before worlds she hasn’t decided if she will continue competing.

Worlds lacked the 2016 and 2017 champion, Russian Yevgenia Medvedeva, who withdrew before the event with an ankle injury that plagued her this season before she took silver in PyeongChang.

Earlier Friday, French Gabriella Papadakis and Guillaume Cizeron broke the world record short dance score, one month after Papadakis’ wardrobe malfunction in the Olympic short dance. A full recap is here.

Worlds conclude Saturday with the free dance and men’s free skate.

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MORE: Best figure skating moments from PyeongChang

French break world record, month after Olympic wardrobe malfunction

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Gabriella Papadakis‘ dress was secure. Papadakis and Guillaume Cizeron‘s performance was extraordinary.

The French broke the world record short dance score at the world championships in Milan on Friday. Papadakis wore the same style costume that came slightly undone in the Olympic short dance and exposed her breast in South Korea.

“Back in Montreal [training after the Olympics], I just fixed a couple things in my dress, and I made sure it wouldn’t be able to break or to open in any way,” Papadakis said, before adding with a laugh, “and it didn’t.”

Papadakis and Cizeron tallied 83.73 points Friday, beating Canadians Tessa Virtue and Scott Moir‘s record from the Olympics by .06. The two-time world champs and Olympic silver medalists lead Americans Madison Hubbell and Zachary Donohue by 3.31 going into Saturday’s free dance.

Two-time world medalists Madison Chock and Evan Bates are fifth, 2.75 points out of medal position.

WORLDS: Full Scores | RecapsTV Schedule

The field lacks Olympic gold and bronze medalists Virtue and Moir and American siblings Maia Shibutani and Alex Shibutani. Medalists often skip the post-Olympic world championships due to off-ice opportunities, exhaustion or retirement.

Papadakis and Cizeron entered the Olympics as, at worst, co-favorites with Virtue and Moir. Though Virtue and Moir won their three head-to-heads in 2016-17, Papadakis and Cizeron this season posted the four highest total scores under the eight-year-old system in their four international events leading into PyeongChang.

Disaster struck in the Olympic short dance, where Papadakis had that wardrobe malfunction. The couple still tallied 81.93 points, just .14 off their personal best. They outscored Virtue and Moir in the free dance, but the Canadians won overall by .79.

This week, Papadakis and Cizeron eye their third world title after back-to-back crowns in 2015 and 2016 as the youngest ice dance world champs in 40 years. A triple would match Virtue and Moir and give them one more world title than 2014 Olympic champions Meryl Davis and Charlie White.

“The season has been so demanding,” Cizeron said. “It feels really good to end a season on a note like this.”

The third U.S. couple, Kaitlin Hawayek and Jean-Luc Baker, is in 15th place after Hawayek fell in their short dance. The 2014 World junior champions made the field due to the Shibutanis withdrawing.

Key Free Dance Start Times (Saturday ET)
Kaitlin Hawayek/Jean-Luc Baker (USA) — 11:27 a.m.
Anna Cappellini/Luca Lanotte (ITA) — 12:56 p.m.
Madison Chock/Evan Bates (USA) — 1:04 p.m.
Gabriella Papadakis/Guillaume Cizeron (FRA) — 1:12 p.m.
Kaitlyn Weaver/Andrew Poje (CAN) — 1:20 p.m.
Madison Hubbell/Zachary Donohue (USA) — 1:28 p.m.

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