In 2012, the 10th-place nation earned 28 medals. In 2008, the 10th-place nation earned 27 medals.
But Marcus ViniciusFreire, the executive director of sport for the Brazilian Olympic Committee, believes 23 or 24 medals could get Brazil into the top 10 in August.
“The number of medals for us is wherever the top 10 are,” Freire told Brazilian media, according to a translation. “There is a tendency for a larger distribution of medals [than previous years] for the first eight [nations], who win a little more and taking [from] the bottom two. So 10th place would be 23, 24 [in Rio].”
Freire may believe world powers such as the U.S. and China will take a greater share of the medals than in 2012 or 2008, but recent history shows that 23 or 24 medals would not place in the top 10.
It hasn’t happened since Atlanta 1996, when there were 35 fewer medal events than there will be in Rio in August.
Brazil earned at least 10 medals at the last five Summer Olympics after never winning more than eight before that. It reached its peak at London 2012 with 17 medals.
An increase of six or seven medals from four years ago would be a similar percentage increase as Great Britain from 2008 to 2012. The British earned 47 medals in 2008 and then 65 when they hosted in 2012.
But Swiatek is not as dominant as in 2022, when she went 16-0 in the spring clay season during an overall 37-match win streak.
She retired from her most recent match with a right thigh injury last week and said it wasn’t serious. Before that, she lost the final of another clay-court tournament to Australian Open champion Aryna Sabalenka of Belarus.
Sabalenka, the No. 2 seed, and Elena Rybakina of Kazakhstan, the No. 4 seed and Wimbledon champion, are the top challengers in Paris.
No. 3 Jessica Pegula and No. 6 Coco Gauff, runner-up to Swiatek last year, are the best hopes to become the first American to win a Grand Slam singles title since Sofia Kenin at the 2020 Australian Open. The 11-major drought is the longest for U.S. women since Seleswon the 1996 Australian Open.
But the No. 1 seed is Spaniard Carlos Alcaraz, who won last year’s U.S. Open to become, at 19, the youngest man to win a major since Nadal’s first French Open title in 2005.
Now Alcaraz looks to become the second-youngest man to win at Roland Garros since 1989, after Nadal of course.
Alcaraz missed the Australian Open in January due to a right leg injury, but since went 30-3 with four titles. Notably, he has not faced Djokovic this year. They could meet in the semifinals.
Russian Daniil Medvedev, who lost in the French Open first round in 2017, 2018, 2019 and 2020, is improved on clay. He won the Italian Open, the last top-level clay event before the French Open, and is the No. 2 seed ahead of Djokovic.
No. 9 Taylor Fritz, No. 12 Frances Tiafoe and No. 16 Tommy Paul are the highest-seeded Americans, all looking to become the first U.S. man to make the French Open quarterfinals since Andre Agassi in 2003. Since then, five different American men combined to make the fourth round on eight occasions.