Ashley Wagner is likely to miss the Grand Prix Final after several under-rotated jumps in her Cup of China free skate led to the worst Grand Prix finish in her 10-year career.
Wagner, who last season ended a 10-year U.S. women’s podium drought with silver at the world championships, placed sixth at Cup of China on Saturday (full results here). It’s the first time in her 25 Grand Prix starts that she finished outside the top five.
Wagner went into the Beijing event riding that world silver and a Skate America win in October. A podium finish in China would have put her into the Grand Prix Final for a fifth straight year.
Instead, it looks like the U.S. will be without a female singles skater at the Grand Prix Final for the first time since 2008. U.S. champion Gracie Gold struggled this fall, and the third 2014 U.S. Olympian, Polina Edmunds, hasn’t competed since January due to a foot injury.
NBCSN and the NBC Sports app will air Cup of China coverage Sunday at 11 p.m. ET.
Wagner was fifth in Friday’s short program after she doubled the back end of a planned triple-triple combination and fell another spot Saturday.
Wagner could still make December’s Grand Prix Final if other skaters under-perform at next week’s NHK Trophy, but she’s already looking to the U.S. Championships in January.
“I work too hard to skate like that,” was posted on her Twitter account. “I also will take this for what it is and move on. See you all at Nationals.”
Russian Yelena Radionova won Cup of China to become the third woman to qualify for the Grand Prix Final, the second-biggest annual competition. The top six skaters per discipline in the Grand Prix series make the final.
There are four women at NHK Trophy, the last qualifying event, who have realistic chances of making the Grand Prix Final. The simplest scenario is this: If three of the four repeat their results from their first Grand Prix, Wagner won’t make the final.
Also at Cup of China, Olympic silver medalist Patrick Chan overcame world bronze medalist Jin Boyang to claim the men’s title. Chan joins Javier Fernández and Shoma Uno in the Grand Prix Final field.
Jin falling from first after the short program to second was helpful for the hopes of a U.S. man qualifying for the Grand Prix Final for the first time since 2011.
Going into NHK Trophy three U.S. men are among those in the running for the final three available spots.
U.S. champion Adam Rippon is the clubhouse leader, but he will be passed by Olympic champion Yuzuru Hanyu, should Hanyu finish fourth or higher at NHK.
Olympian Jason Brown and 17-year-old phenom Nathan Chen will also skate at NHK with a shot at the Grand Prix Final. Brown is definitely in if he makes the podium. Chen controls his own destiny only with a win but could make it with a lower finish and some help.
If Hanyu has a disastrous performance (fifth or lower), the U.S. could put three men in the Grand Prix Final.
World silver medalists Maia and Alex Shibutani qualified for their third straight Grand Prix Final by winning Cup of China on Saturday. The siblings won both of their Grand Prix events in one season for the first time.
MORE: Figure skating season broadcast schedule
Follow @nzaccardiGrand Prix Final Standings (Top 6 Qualify)
Men
1. Javier Fernández (ESP) — 30 points (qualified)
2. Patrick Chan (CAN) — 30 (qualified)
3. Shoma Uno (JPN) — 28 (qualified)
4. Adam Rippon (USA) — 22
5. Jin Boyang (CHN) — 20
Skating at NHK Trophy
Yuzuru Hanyu (JPN) — Will qualify if 3rd or higher
Jason Brown (USA) — Will qualify if 3rd or higher
Oleksii Bychenko (ISR) — Will qualify if 2nd or higher
Nathan Chen (USA) — Will qualify if 1st
Women
1. Yevgenia Medvedeva (RUS) — 30 points (qualified)
2. Yelena Radionova (RUS) — 28 (qualified)
3. Kaetlyn Osmond (CAN) — 26 (qualified)
4. Ashley Wagner (USA) — 20
Skating at NHK Trophy
Anna Pogorilaya (RUS) — Will qualify if 4th or higher
Maria Sotskova (RUS) — Will qualify if 3rd or higher
Wakaba Higuchi (JPN) — Likely qualify if 3rd or higher
Satoko Miyahara (JPN) — Likely qualify if 3rd or higher
Pairs
1. Aliona Savchenko/Bruno Massot (GER) — 30 points (qualified)
2. Yu Xiaoyu/Zhang Hao (CHN) — 28 (qualified)
3. Yevgenia Tarasova/Vladimir Morozov (RUS) — 24 (qualified)
4. Julianne Séguin/Charlie Bilodeau (CAN) — 22
5. Natalja Zabijako/Alexander Enbert (RUS) — 22
Skating at NHK Trophy
Meagan Duhamel/Eric Radford (CAN) — Will qualify if 4th or higher
Peng Cheng/Jin Yang (CHN) — Will qualify if 3rd or higher
Wang Xuehan/Wang Lei (CHN) — Will likely qualify if 2nd or higher
Ice Dance
1. Maia Shibutani/Alex Shibutani (USA) — 30 points (qualified)
2. Yekaterina Bobrova/Dmitry Soloviyev (RUS) — 26 (qualified)
3. Madison Chock/Evan Bates (USA) — 26 (qualified)
4. Madison Hubbell/Zachary Donohue (USA) — 26 (qualified)
5. Kaitlyn Weaver/Andrew Poje (CAN) — 24
Skating at NHK Trophy
Gabriella Papadakis/Guillaume Cizeron (FRA) — Will qualify if 3rd or higher
Tessa Virtue/Scott Moir (CAN) — Will qualify if 3rd or higher
Top Grand Prix Season Scores
Men
1. Javier Fernández (ESP) — 292.98 (Rostelecom Cup)
2. Javier Fernández (ESP) — 285.38 (Trophée de France)
3. Shoma Uno (JPN) — 285.07 (Rostelecom Cup)
4. Patrick Chan (CAN) — 279.72 (Cup of China)
5. Shoma Uno (JPN) — 279.34 (Skate America)
6. Jin Boyang (CHN) — 278.54 (Cup of China)
7. Denis Ten (KAZ) — 265.26 (Trophée de France)
8. Jason Brown (USA) — 268.38 (Skate America)
9. Adam Rippon (USA) — 267.53 (Trophée de France)
10. Patrick Chan (CAN) — 266.95 (Skate Canada)
Women
1. Yevgenia Medvedeva (RUS) — 221.54 (Trophée de France)
2. Yevgenia Medvedeva (RUS) — 220.65 (Skate Canada)
3. Anna Pogorilaya (RUS) — 215.21 (Rostelecom Cup)
4. Kaetlyn Osmond (CAN) — 206.45 (Skate Canada)
5. Yelena Radionova (RUS) — 205.90 (Cup of China)
6. Maria Sotskova (RUS) — 200.35 (Trophée de France)
7. Ashley Wagner (USA) — 196.44 (Skate America)
8. Kaetlyn Osmond (CAN) — 196.00 (Cup of China)
9. Yelena Radionova (RUS) — 195.60 (Rostelecom Cup)
10. Wakaba Higuchi (JPN) — 194.48 (Trophée de France)
Pairs
1. Meagan Duhamel/Eric Radford (CAN) — 218.30 (Skate Canada)
2. Aliona Savchenko/Bruno Massot (GER) — 210.59 (Trophée de France)
3. Aliona Savchenko/Bruno Massot (GER) — 207.89 (Rostelecom Cup)
4. Yevgenia Tarasova/Vladimir Morozov (RUS) — 206.94 (Trophée de France)
5. Yu Xiaoyu/Zhang Hao (CHN) — 203.76 (Cup of China)
6. Yu Xiaoyu/Zhang Hao (CHN) — 202.08 (Skate Canada)
7. Vanessa James/Morgan Cipres (FRA) — 198.58 (Trophée de France)
8. Peng Cheng/Jin Yang (CHN) — 197.96 (Cup of China)
9. Natalya Zabiyako/Alexander Enbert (RUS) — 197.77 (Rostelecom Cup)
10. Julianne Séguin/Charlie Bilodeau (CAN) — 197.31 (Skate America)
Ice Dance
1. Gabriella Papadakis/Guillaume Cizeron (FRA) — 193.50 (Trophée de France)
2. Tessa Virtue/Scott Moir (CAN) — 189.06 (Skate Canada)
3. Madison Chock/Evan Bates (USA) — 188.24 (Skate Canada)
4. Yekaterina Bobrova/Dmitry Soloviyev (RUS) — 186.68 (Rostelecom Cup)
5. Maia Shibutani/Alex Shibutani (USA) — 185.75 (Skate America)
6. Maia Shibutani/Alex Shibutani (USA) — 185.13 (Cup of China)
7. Piper Gilles/Paul Poirier (CAN) — 182.57 (Skate Canada)
8. Madison Chock/Evan Bates (USA) — 182.13 (Rostelecom Cup)
9. Kaitlyn Weaver/Andrew Poje (CAN) — 181.54 (Cup of China)
10. Anna Cappellini/Luca Lanotte (ITA) — 180.35 (Skate Canada)